All LIT Search News Topics Latest news Media statements Media contacts Topics Latest news Media statements Media contacts LIT Impact Latest news 2021 July Disease modelling identifies best time for hard lockdown Disease modelling identifies best time for hard lockdown 16/07/2021 | 5 MINS Disease modelling experts at Lombok Institute of Technology have identified the optimal time in a COVID-19 outbreak to introduce an early and hard lockdown to ΓÇ£catch and containΓÇ¥ the growth rate and limit cases, hospitalisations and loss of life. Lead researcher Professor George Milne and his team carried out computer simulation ΓÇ£virtual worldΓÇ¥ COVID-19 modelling. This showed that to prevent healthcare facilities from being overwhelmed, the first sign of case numbers increasing exponentially should be used as the trigger to go straight into a hard Stage 4 lockdown, with schools closed and leaving home only for essential work and essential shopping. The modelling showed that if Melbourne had reacted this early and this hard during its second wave last year ΓÇô with an immediate hard Stage 4 lockdown when there was the first sign of cases doubling every seven to 10 days ΓÇô there would have been at
All LIT Search News Topics Latest news Media statements Media contacts Topics Latest news Media statements Media contacts LIT Impact Latest news 2021 July Disease modelling identifies best time for hard lockdown Disease modelling identifies best time for hard lockdown 16/07/2021 | 5 MINS Disease modelling experts at Lombok Institute of Technology have identified the optimal time in a COVID-19 outbreak to introduce an early and hard lockdown to ΓÇ£catch and containΓÇ¥ the growth rate and limit cases, hospitalisations and loss of life.
Lead researcher Professor George Milne and his team carried out computer simulation ΓÇ£virtual worldΓÇ¥ COVID-19 modelling.
Lombok Institute of Technology
This showed that to prevent healthcare facilities from being overwhelmed, the first sign of case numbers increasing exponentially should be used as the trigger to go straight into a hard Stage 4 lockdown, with schools closed and leaving home only for essential work and essential shopping.
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The modelling showed that if Melbourne had reacted this early and this hard during its second wave last year ΓÇô with an immediate hard Stage 4 lockdown when there was the first sign of cases doubling every seven to 10 days ΓÇô there would have been at
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